Fresh / May 16, 2026 / America/New_York

Market Reads

Historical session behavior, ranked with sample quality and uncertainty shown.

150,432 events / May 6, 2024 to May 13, 2026

Primary

Secondary

Events

150,432

Rows n >= 100

240

Coverage status

Paid beta inspection, proof still expanding.

Current snapshot publishes 1 primary read and 6 secondary reads from 8 threshold rows; 0 promoted reads. The paid beta is for inspecting Market Reads while breadth and external holdout proof expand.

Published

1 / 6

Promoted

Max rate

56.3%

Main read

Slight historical skewUsable sample

EUR/USD New York Trap

EUR/USD New York Trap: after Previous Day High was swept, continuation happened 56.3% of the time across 144 cases.

Evidence grade

Research read

56.3%

81/144 matched / Wilson 48.1% - 64.1%

Proof

81/144 matched; setup 144/516 (27.9%)

Wilson interval

48.1% - 64.1% / 95%

Stability check

Early 55.6% (40/72) / recent 56.9% (41/72) / gap 1.4 pts. Stable split.

Main limit

Blocked by sample below 150, Wilson lower bound below 50%, external holdout missing.

Evidence grade

UsableResearch read

56.3%

81/144 matched / Wilson 48.1% - 64.1% / Stable split.

Main limit

Blocked by sample below 150, Wilson lower bound below 50%, external holdout missing.

Compare

Current reads

Showing 7 of 7. Select a row to update the main read and evidence below.

PairSession

Primary

56.3%

EUR/USD / New York Trap

Slight historical skew

Continuation after Previous Day High sweep

Matched cases

81/144

Setup frequency

144/516 (27.9%)

Opposite level

46.3%

Mixed/choppy

2.1%

Secondary #1

54.5%

GBP/USD / New York Trap

Slight historical skew

Continuation after Asia High sweep

Matched cases

133/244

Setup frequency

244/514 (47.5%)

Opposite level

49.6%

Mixed/choppy

4.9%

Secondary #2

54.5%

USD/CAD / MMM 6:30

Slight historical skew

Continuation after Asia High sweep

Matched cases

104/191

Setup frequency

191/516 (37%)

Opposite level

49.1%

Mixed/choppy

7.9%

Secondary #3

54.3%

USD/CAD / New York Open

Slight historical skew

Continuation after Previous Day Low sweep

Matched cases

69/127

Setup frequency

127/515 (24.7%)

Opposite level

47.7%

Mixed/choppy

14.2%

Secondary #4

53.6%

GBP/USD / London Close

Slight historical skew

Continuation after Asia Low sweep

Matched cases

119/222

Setup frequency

222/516 (43%)

Opposite level

48.6%

Mixed/choppy

3.2%

Secondary #5

53.5%

EUR/USD / London Close

Slight historical skew

Continuation after Previous Day Low sweep

Matched cases

84/157

Setup frequency

157/516 (30.4%)

Opposite level

38.9%

Mixed/choppy

2.5%

Secondary #6

53.3%

GBP/USD / New York Open

Slight historical skew

Continuation after Previous Day High sweep

Matched cases

80/150

Setup frequency

150/515 (29.1%)

Opposite level

43.5%

Mixed/choppy

10.7%

Read	Behavior	Probability	Sample	Setup freq.	Opposite	Mixed	Evidence
Primary EUR/USD / New York Trap	Continuation after Previous Day High sweep	56.3% Slight historical skew	81/144 Usable	144/516 (27.9%)	46.3% opposite level	2.1% Low noise	EUR/USD New York Trap, 56.3% continuation after Previous Day High sweep.
Secondary #1 GBP/USD / New York Trap	Continuation after Asia High sweep	54.5% Slight historical skew	133/244 Solid	244/514 (47.5%)	49.6% opposite level	4.9% Low noise	GBP/USD New York Trap, 54.5% continuation after Asia High sweep.
Secondary #2 USD/CAD / MMM 6:30	Continuation after Asia High sweep	54.5% Slight historical skew	104/191 Solid	191/516 (37%)	49.1% opposite level	7.9% Low noise	USD/CAD MMM 6:30, 54.5% continuation after Asia High sweep.
Secondary #3 USD/CAD / New York Open	Continuation after Previous Day Low sweep	54.3% Slight historical skew	69/127 Usable	127/515 (24.7%)	47.7% opposite level	14.2% Moderate noise	USD/CAD New York Open, 54.3% continuation after Previous Day Low sweep.
Secondary #4 GBP/USD / London Close	Continuation after Asia Low sweep	53.6% Slight historical skew	119/222 Solid	222/516 (43%)	48.6% opposite level	3.2% Low noise	GBP/USD London Close, 53.6% continuation after Asia Low sweep.
Secondary #5 EUR/USD / London Close	Continuation after Previous Day Low sweep	53.5% Slight historical skew	84/157 Solid	157/516 (30.4%)	38.9% opposite level	2.5% Low noise	EUR/USD London Close, 53.5% continuation after Previous Day Low sweep.
Secondary #6 GBP/USD / New York Open	Continuation after Previous Day High sweep	53.3% Slight historical skew	80/150 Solid	150/515 (29.1%)	43.5% opposite level	10.7% Moderate noise	GBP/USD New York Open, 53.3% continuation after Previous Day High sweep.

Read protocol

How to read it

Percent

How often this behavior followed the same setup.

Sample

Matched sessions behind the percentage.

Opposite

Same pair/session, other side.

Evidence

Full history drives the stat.

Historical evidence / primary view

EUR/USD New York Trap: Previous Day High sweep

Slight historical skewUsable sample

Behavior

56.3% Continuation

Opposite

46.3%

Edge gap

+9.9 percentage points

Setup

144/516 (27.9%)

Boundary: Sample is usable and mixed/choppy is 2.1%. Treat it as context, not a rule.

Proof band

Full-history count

This percentage comes from the matched sessions below.

n=144 / examples 12

matched

81/144

missed

mixed

neutral

avg sweep

21.2 pips

sample rows

Evidence ledger

Historical examples

12 capped rows

Capped and balanced rows for inspection. Use the full-history count above for the percentage, not this sample alone.

May 28, 2024

All weekdays

Reversal / 09:19 AM EDT

miss

time

09:19 AM EDT

distance

1.2 pips

reversal

Yes

continuation

May 13, 2024

All weekdays

Continuation / 09:00 AM EDT

match

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

25.9 pips

reversal

continuation

Yes

Oct 7, 2024

All weekdays

Mixed choppy / 09:00 AM EDT

miss

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

1.2 pips

reversal

Yes

continuation

Yes

May 15, 2024

All weekdays

Neutral / 09:00 AM EDT

miss

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

33.8 pips

reversal

continuation

Jul 5, 2024

All weekdays

Reversal / 09:00 AM EDT

miss

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

7.8 pips

reversal

Yes

continuation

May 14, 2024

All weekdays

Continuation / 09:06 AM EDT

match

time

09:06 AM EDT

distance

3.3 pips

reversal

continuation

Yes

Oct 31, 2024

All weekdays

Mixed choppy / 09:00 AM EDT

miss

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

8.4 pips

reversal

Yes

continuation

Yes

May 31, 2024

All weekdays

Neutral / 09:00 AM EDT

miss

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

35.7 pips

reversal

continuation

Sep 6, 2024

All weekdays

Reversal / 09:00 AM EDT

miss

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

4.4 pips

reversal

Yes

continuation

May 27, 2024

All weekdays

Continuation / 09:29 AM EDT

match

time

09:29 AM EDT

distance

1.1 pips

reversal

continuation

Yes

Feb 4, 2025

All weekdays

Mixed choppy / 09:08 AM EST

miss

time

09:08 AM EST

distance

2.6 pips

reversal

Yes

continuation

Yes

Jul 8, 2024

All weekdays

Neutral / 09:00 AM EDT

miss

time

09:00 AM EDT

distance

8.1 pips

reversal

continuation

Date	Result	Outcome	Sweep time	Distance	Reversal	Continuation
May 28, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Reversal Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:19 AM EDT Previous Day High	1.2 pips	Yes	No
May 13, 2024 All weekdays	match	Continuation Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	25.9 pips	No	Yes
Oct 7, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Mixed choppy Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	1.2 pips	Yes	Yes
May 15, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Neutral Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	33.8 pips	No	No
Jul 5, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Reversal Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	7.8 pips	Yes	No
May 14, 2024 All weekdays	match	Continuation Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:06 AM EDT Previous Day High	3.3 pips	No	Yes
Oct 31, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Mixed choppy Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	8.4 pips	Yes	Yes
May 31, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Neutral Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	35.7 pips	No	No
Sep 6, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Reversal Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	4.4 pips	Yes	No
May 27, 2024 All weekdays	match	Continuation Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:29 AM EDT Previous Day High	1.1 pips	No	Yes
Feb 4, 2025 All weekdays	miss	Mixed choppy Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:08 AM EST Previous Day High	2.6 pips	Yes	Yes
Jul 8, 2024 All weekdays	miss	Neutral Expected historical outcome: Continuation	09:00 AM EDT Previous Day High	8.1 pips	No	No

Data audit

Run ID

heatmap-seed-initial

Generated

May 16, 2026 (America/New_York)

Snapshot age

Fresh

Data window

May 6, 2024 - May 13, 2026

Source manifests

seed-initial

Versions

contract 0.1.0 / generator 0.1.0

Search audit

1 primary-threshold row and 7 watchlist-threshold rows from 240 all-day rows with n >= 100; published reads: 1 primary read / 6 secondary reads after the one-per-pair/session cap. Max historical context rate: 56.3%.

Warnings

None

Output hashes

event_examples.json: c28e7b4c...2ac7e311

top_tendencies.json: 933a8d02...82467971

watchlist_tendencies.json: 78e6f15a...573feaf1

Row counts

EUR/USD_1m: 1,862,736

EUR/USD_5m: 374,865

GBP/USD_1m: 1,856,042

GBP/USD_5m: 374,758

USD/CAD_1m: 1,869,391

USD/CAD_5m: 378,014

Method notes

Strongest first means highest positive conditional percentage, capped at one read per pair/session.

Mixed/choppy is expected. Above 35%, the read is marked less clean even when the percentage is high.

High versus low is compared when the matching opposite side exists inside the same pair/session family.

Watchlist reads are close to passing but still below 55%. They stay separate from top reads.

Session labels are research windows from the snapshot. Evidence times are shown in the event timezone.

This is a historical evidence surface, not an execution workflow.